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Part Five : Egypt 1990-2004
The Mubarak Dynasty

The Gulf War enhanced the role of Egypt and thrust her onto center stage. Mubarak eagerly had Egypt contribute to the military coalition and the primary incentive was the removal of a lot of Egypt’s debt, which amounted to $50 billion dollars. The Persian Gulf crisis presented an opportunity for the nation to seek forgiveness on the most irksome portion of the debt-$4,550,000,000 in repayments to the US for military supplies. By mid-November 1990 the Egyptian daily al-Ahram was reporting that $14 billion in US military debts and Arab debts had already been written off.

Despite Egypt’s new authority and prestige, in which Muabark was permitted to address the European Parliament on 20 November 1991, a sustained Islamic fundamentalist uprising did begin mostly in Upper Egypt the following year. This was the most serious challenge to the government since the assassination of Sadat and the violence that year. The banned organization al-Jama’a al-Islamiya called for the destruction of Egypt’s Pharaonic monuments as “pagan sites” and claimed responsibility for armed attacks on tourists. The violence was concentrated in a 210-km (130-mi) stretch of the Nile from al-Minya south to Sawhaj, about 560-km (350 mi) south of Cairo.

Violence also erupted in the quiet town of Idku (population 250,000), nestled between the Mediterranean and the Nile Delta, when at least three people were killed in August. Unlike the troubled province of Asyut in Upper Egypt, where religious militants and security forces fought almost daily, sectarian violence was virtually unknown in Idku. The riots were sparked by reports that a local man had died under police torture. Hundreds of young men poured into the streets and set fire to local council offices and other government property but left shops alone.

Many Egyptians expected rapid expansion of democracy after the Gulf War, when some 35,000 Egyptians fought alongside Americans and other Westerners. This did not happen, though officials insisted in the government media that they were building democracy and broadening political participation. Pres. Hosni Mubarak told the semi-official daily al-Ahram in February 1992, “Constitutional amendments will not achieve people’s hopes for more jobs, more production, more income and better services. Amendments are not a priority.”

That same year a significant border dispute with the Sudan erupted concerning mineral rights in the Halaib triangle along the Red Sea. Relations, which had traditionally been strong, were now tense after Sudan granted a Canadian oil company exploration rights in late 1991. Mubarak had initially backed the leaders of the military junta in the Sudan when they seized power in 1988.

Egypt’s hopes of securing a dominant role in regional affairs through the Damascus Declaration, an alliance of six Gulf Cooperation Council states, Egypt and Syria, received a major setback when foreign ministers meeting in September 9-10 in Doha, Qatar, declined to support Cairo’s suggestion of a permanent rapid deployment force. The strike force would be composed of troops from all eight states, but with Egyptian and Syrian troops forming a vanguard.

In 1993 from May 9-16 Mubarak undertook a tour of the Gulf Cooperation Council states in an effort to isolate Iran, which Egypt accused of backing Islamic extremist groups. He claimed he had details of Iranian “mobilizations” of warships around Port Sudan, 100 km (160 mi) south of the disputed Hala’ib border area, and threatened to strike immediately if the warships used the port. The GCC states, however, were nervous about offending Iran and declined to give explicit public support. Mubarak was more successful in cutting off Persian Gulf state funds for the militants in Egypt, as Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates issued decrees banning governmental Muslim charities from sending money abroad. In 1997 Iran did send, on May 6, her Foreign Minister Ali Akbar Velayati on a visit to Egypt to officially discuss bilateral relations with his Egyptian counterpart Amr Musa. Unofficially they perhaps discussed regional concerns and foreign policy agendas to pursue after the completion of the construction of the base complexes by Bechtel Group. I assume Egypt gave no serious commitment realizing that an Islamic world led by Iran would severely diminish the influence of Egypt. Iran’s envoy may actually have pointed out that with the support for the Jihad from other Islamic governments it would be Egypt who would actually be isolated.

By the late 1990’s the threat from fundamentalist had greatly diminished yet steps to reduce their influence increased in the form of arrests. Mubarak was reconfirmed for a fourth six-year term as president in a national referendum on 26 Sept. 1999. He was “elected” as the sole candidate with 93.79% of the total valid votes and was the longest-serving president since the Egyptian military took over power from King Farouk in July 1952.

Following the September tragedy of 2001 Mubarak embarked on a European tour, which included stops in France, Italy and Germany. He had long been experiencing more acceptance in the West than in the Middle East. He spoke of Egypt’s need to coordinate actions with Western countries to combat terrorism. The intelligence information provided by the Egyptian authorities might be very valuable indeed: many leading members of Iran’s al-Qaeda organization, including perhaps Ayman az-Zawahiri and Muhammad Atef were Egyptian.

During nearly all the years of President’s Mubarak’s rule he was and still is at the center of the charade of the Middle East peace process, more recently called a road map by Pres. George Bush Jr. Last year in June 2003 I attended a Salon Dinner, sponsored by the Chicago Council on Foreign Relations, at the apartment of the Egyptian Consul-General. He and his Egyptian guest speaker literally laughed at the “road map to peace.” That same year in June Mubarak accepted the invitation from French Pres. Jacques Chirac to attend-along with other heads of state from Africa, Latin America, and Asia-the Group of Eight summit of industrialized nations in Evian. That September Mubarak’s ruling National Democratic Party (NDP) convened its first annual conference in which Mubarak’s 40-year old son, Gamal Mubarak, head of the NDP’s Policies Secretariat, had a high profile in the conference.

 

Willard Payne is an Editorial Contributor for PersianMirror from Flossmor, Illinois. He is an independent foreign affairs consultant and a member of the US Naval Institute and the Chicago Council on Foreign Relations.

 

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