Although the National Intelligence Estimate (NIE)
report on Iran,
made public this week, is already an old story, the reasons for its public
disclosure remain to be discussed and understood. The report: stated “…that in fall 2003,
Tehran halted its nuclear weapons program” and “that Tehran at a minimum is
keeping open the option to develop nuclear weapons” in the future.
For a clear understanding of the report the two
interwoven arguments in the assessment, with different implications, must be
dissected and separately analyzed: 1) that Iran has not engaged in procurement
or production of parts and materials necessary for the building of a nuclear
device of any sort, and 2) that Iran had a nuclear weapons program before 2003
and it may decide to restart such a program in the future. Between the two aspects of the report, the
former is essential and the latter mainly involves future speculations,
and the period before 2003 for which there is no proven
documentation provided by the NIE that Iran had a nuclear weapons
The former implication contradicts the claims by the U.S. government since 2003 that Iran has been
using its right to civilian nuclear energy as a cover for its real intentions,
that is, the production of a nuclear bomb.
As far as this clear dichotomy is concerned, the U.S. government
has willfully abused its position in the United Nations Security Council, and
hence the Resolutions 1737 and 1747, based on falsified information, lack
credibility and in fact are illegal. To
redress the injustices committed against Iran, the United Nations must
declare the sanctions, invalid and null.
Before opening the discourse about the underlying
causes of the release now of the report, it is important to point out that it
reflects the consensus of almost the entire U.S. ruling class, regardless of
President Bush’s emphasis on his old redundant claim that the report shows that
Iran has had a nuclear program before 2003 and it may keep the option open for
the future. Furthermore, the disclosure
of the report dismayed some foreign governments that have been involved in the
US-Iran nuclear dispute. The U.S. intelligence estimate was characterized as
“unfathomable” by the European diplomats who just two days earlier were
involved in a strenuous effort to persuade the Russian and Chinese
representatives in the United Nations’ Security Council to agree to a draft of
yet another UN resolution requiring much tougher sanctions against Iran.
To what extent the British, French and German
diplomats were unaware of the U.S. (NIE) findings prior to Dec. 2, 2007,
remains to be seen. This question will be among the topics for research by
current and future historians. What is
crystal clear is that it took four drawn out toxic years for the U.S.
government and its European allies to realize that the endless stream of lies
and cover-ups by the Bush Administration, mouth-pieced by the conservative
majority in the U.S. Congress and attuned by the puppet Zionist regime in
Israel, about Iran’s alleged nuclear threat to the international safety and
security of the world will in the long run work against the strategic interests
of the U.S. empire. In fact, this policy
of unilateralism has worked in favor of the establishment of a global regime of
multilateralism, an international structure whose formation the U.S.
“Superpower” has tried so desperately to prevent.
For quite a long time, more likely since the
ascendance of Dr. Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, President of the Islamic Republic of
Iran to power, many developments in Iran,
the Middle East and around the world were clearly indicating that the U.S.-U.K.
policies of intimidation, threat and open bellicosity, resting on a mountain of
lies have gone against U.S. But the White
House, with the tacit agreements of the pro-Israeli Democrats and neo-con
Republicans who were completely consumed by their mental deception and self
delusion, emboldened by a subservient mass media, chose the course of ever
higher tension and conflict, which was dubbed as the “war on terror”.
Among the factors that have influenced the U.S.
decision to reveal the intelligence assessment were the unshakable unity of the
Iranian people in their support for Iran’s right to a peaceful nuclear energy
program and the uranium enrichment process, the perseverance of President
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and his resistance not only to the American dictates but
also to the selfish demand of the pro-U.S. Iranians who wanted the Islamic
government to retreat and give in to the U.S. pressures.
Iran’s expanded economic, political, diplomatic and
defense relations with Latin American countries as Venezuela, Cuba, Peru,
Bolivia, and Nicaragua, and in Asia strong ties with Russia, China and the
Caspian Sea states and in the Middle East with the peoples of Iraq,
Afghanistan, Syria, Lebanon and Palestine were not small factors in reshaping
the current formulation of U.S policy towards Iran.
To demonstrate the steep rise in foreign investment
mostly in oil, gas and materials sectors, one must point out that such investments
hit a record $10.2 billion in the Iranian calendar year ending March 20, 2007
from $4.2 billion in 2005 and merely $2 million in 1994. The most active investors have been Germans,
Chinese, Turkish, British, Norwegian, French, Japanese, Russian, South Korean,
Swedish and Swiss concerns. It is
important to mention that in recent years the largest amount of foreign
investment was in the industrial sector, including food and beverages, tobacco,
textiles, leather, clothing, steel, chemicals and oil derivatives. The totality of this picture shows that the
Bush Administration in trying to “isolate Iran”
has, in fact, excluded the American companies from investing in the profitable
markets of Iran.
Another factor that has frustrated the U.S. ambition in undermining Iranian sovereignty
has been the relatively independent diplomacy of Europe, China, Russia
and even Japan from U.S.
unilateralism. Instead of paying U.S.
dollars for its purchase of Iranian oil, as it did for decades, today Japan, ignoring
the disdain of the U.S. Congress, pays the Iranian government in Yen and avoids
a loss of holding the U.S. dollar with its constantly shrinking exchange
value. Today, Iran receives 85% of its oil
revenue in currencies other than the U.S. dollar.
With regard to the U.S.- Iran nuclear issue, the
positions taken by the United Nation’s
Secretary-General Ban-Ki Moon, in favor of dialogue, and the recent
report of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), headed by Dr. Mohammed
El Baradei, that there is no evidence
for proving the existence of an Iranian nuclear weapons program, added to the
damage done to the U.S. reputation and credibility, if there were any left to
be squandered by George W. Bush.
Victory for Iran
The turning points in the course of events were
President Vladimir Putin’s visit to Iran
and his amiable talk with Ayatollah li Khamenei, the successful gathering of
the Caspian Sea heads of State in Tehran and
ultimately the visits of Iran’s
National Security Secretary Saeed Jalili and Foreign Minister Manuchehr Mottaki
The developments of the course of events in the last
few years have shown that in the absence of major changes in U.S.-Middle East
would apply and most likely gain the status of a provisional membership in the
Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO).
The growing economic, political and military muscles of China and RussiaU.S., suffering from a host of
financial, economical, and, for sure, credibility problems.
have overshadowed the invincibility of the
Considering the significance that the Bush
Administration in its world foreign policy attributed to Iran’s nuclear program, the revelation of the
National Intelligence assessment (NIE) represents a major setback for the U.S., along
with unimaginable global implications.
In turn, the U.S. retreat and its admission of perjury with regard to
Iran’s non-existent nuclear weapons program, at least since 2003, is a clear
sign of great victory for the government of President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and
the entire nation of Iran that did not cave in under the relentless threats and
pressures of world imperialism, headed by the United States.
While the disclosure of the National Intelligence
Estimate (NIE) report was a great source of joy for the pro-peace and progressive
individuals, parties and governments around the world, it pained the minority
of humanity that sides with war, exploitation and big business. This tiny faction of the world’s population
is still crying foul and has wasted no time regurgitating the old allegation
that “Iran is still a
threat” to the U.S. Among these characters are former U.S.
Ambassador to the United Nations, John Bolton, an infamous architect of the war
in Iraq, the Prime Minister of Israel, Ehud Olmert, a war criminal who starves
the civilian population in Gaza while threatening to drop nuclear bombs on
Iran, and President George W. Bush who should have been impeached years ago for
murdering one million Iraqis and using American soldiers as cannon-fodder.